Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.009270 0.011056 0.013240 0.016158 0.020031 0.025118 0.032519
2025-03-16 0.007117 0.009221 0.012124 0.016599 0.023679 0.035187 0.057215
2025-03-23 0.005878 0.008016 0.011201 0.016610 0.026340 0.045101 0.091269
2025-03-30 0.004930 0.006955 0.010132 0.015909 0.027340 0.052621 0.130669
2025-04-06 0.004310 0.006251 0.009432 0.015568 0.028795 0.062163 0.193704
2025-04-13 0.003947 0.005882 0.009193 0.015976 0.031997 0.078971 0.334045
2025-04-20 0.003735 0.005721 0.009274 0.017028 0.037300 0.108474 0.723174
2025-04-27 0.003510 0.005500 0.009191 0.017701 0.042072 0.144142 1.723424
2025-05-04 0.003249 0.005177 0.008851 0.017681 0.044856 0.177210 4.170502
2025-05-11 0.003025 0.004891 0.008537 0.017638 0.047626 0.217965 13.964103
2025-05-18 0.002796 0.004570 0.008101 0.017171 0.048690 0.252197 63.102352
2025-05-25 0.002561 0.004215 0.007544 0.016258 0.047609 0.268737 378.147304
2025-06-01 0.002370 0.003946 0.007183 0.015928 0.049395 0.328142 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002249 0.003806 0.007089 0.016367 0.055202 0.477850 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002116 0.003624 0.006872 0.016379 0.059185 0.655098 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001958 0.003376 0.006467 0.015691 0.059023 0.764497 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001837 0.003193 0.006191 0.015356 0.060751 0.975708 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001766 0.003108 0.006138 0.015756 0.067608 1.615264 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001730 0.003092 0.006252 0.016789 0.080590 3.851733 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001678 0.003037 0.006260 0.017449 0.092385 10.159241 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001604 0.002925 0.006104 0.017429 0.098586 23.653089 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001535 0.002820 0.005952 0.017387 0.104911 75.653585 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001457 0.002689 0.005715 0.016929 0.106386 218.888801 NaN